Week 3 NFL picks – Evaluating Texans-Vikings, the Colts offense, props and more

Welcome to Week 3. Coming off a huge week for underdogs, my head is spinning. Is anyone as good or as bad as I thought? It was a good reminder last week that styles make fights, and anyone can beat anyone in the NFL if the matchup is right.

I have three key games to watch this week, with a game-level bet for each (side or total), as well as a prop for each — and a few more lines and props I’m targeting at the bottom of the page.

All odds current as of publication time and courtesy of ESPN BET.

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Week 2 recap | Texans-Vikings | Bears-Colts | Lions-Cardinals | Quick hits and SGP

Week 2 recap

I took a bath last week, as many public bettors did. I was flat wrong on my read for the New Orleans Saints-Dallas Cowboys and Indianapolis Colts-Green Bay Packers games. (I remain shocked by that Packers outcome.) It was tough to lose the Cincinnati Bengals-Kansas City Chiefs under on the last play of the game following a fourth-and-16 conversion, and A.J. Brown’s late injury in practice hurt us on Falcons-Eagles. Nevertheless, we persist. Early season losses always look as if they hurt more than they actually do.

Week 2: 2-8 (-5.42 units)

Overall: 7-13 (-4.07u)
Props: 4-6 (-2.07u)
Sides: 1-2 (-1.05u)
Totals: 2-3 (-1.18u)
Same-game parlay: 0-2 (-0.4u)

Houston Texans (-2, 46.5) at Minnesota Vikings